Geopolitics

India Saudi Arabia Defence Ties: 5 Key Implications for Regional Security

&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p><strong>India Saudi Arabia defence ties<&sol;strong> have entered the spotlight after New Delhi sent a pointed diplomatic message urging Riyadh to respect regional sensitivities in light of its expanding military relationship with Pakistan&period; This move reflects not only the complexities of Gulf geopolitics but also India’s determination to safeguard its strategic interests in South Asia and the Indian Ocean Region &lpar;IOR&rpar;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>India’s statement&comma; while carefully couched in diplomatic language&comma; marks a subtle shift from quiet observation to proactive signalling&period; By highlighting its concerns publicly&comma; New Delhi has demonstrated that defence partnerships between Riyadh and Islamabad cannot be viewed in isolation from South Asian security dynamics&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">India Saudi Arabia Defence Ties&colon; Historical Context<&sol;h2>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>India and Saudi Arabia share centuries-old cultural and trade connections&comma; but defence and strategic engagement deepened only in the last two decades&period; The landmark <strong>2006 Riyadh Declaration<&sol;strong> and subsequent high-level visits&comma; including Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s 2016 and 2019 trips&comma; cemented a comprehensive strategic partnership&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Defence ties have included joint naval exercises&comma; counterterrorism cooperation&comma; and intelligence sharing&period; Saudi Arabia’s role as a major energy supplier—accounting for nearly 18&percnt; of India’s crude imports—has also underpinned the partnership&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>However&comma; Riyadh’s continued defence relationship with Pakistan&comma; including military training and equipment procurement&comma; has remained a persistent irritant for New Delhi&period; The latest developments rekindle old concerns&colon; that Saudi–Pakistani military collaboration could indirectly affect India’s security calculus&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">Why India is Concerned About Saudi Arabia–Pakistan Defence Relations<&sol;h2>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>India’s concerns are rooted in both security and strategic signaling&period; Riyadh has historically relied on Pakistani military expertise&comma; including the stationing of Pakistani officers within Saudi armed forces&period; In recent years&comma; reports of defence industrial cooperation&comma; arms sales&comma; and joint training have resurfaced&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>For India&comma; this raises three key issues&colon;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<ol class&equals;"wp-block-list">&NewLine;<li><strong>Strategic Spillover&colon;<&sol;strong> Pakistan could leverage Saudi resources for military modernization&comma; complicating India’s threat perception&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li><strong>Symbolic Signaling&colon;<&sol;strong> Saudi Arabia’s visible partnership with Pakistan dilutes India’s growing role as a Gulf partner of choice&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li><strong>Regional Balancing&colon;<&sol;strong> At a time when India is deepening ties with the US&comma; France&comma; and Gulf states&comma; any tilt towards Pakistan undermines the strategic narrative of India as a stabilizing regional actor&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;<&sol;ol>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">Economic Interdependence and Strategic Leverage<&sol;h2>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>While defence ties remain sensitive&comma; the India–Saudi partnership is deeply anchored in economics&period; Bilateral trade reached nearly <strong>&dollar;52 billion in FY 2023–24<&sol;strong>&comma; making Saudi Arabia one of India’s top trading partners&period; Energy dependence continues to give Riyadh leverage&comma; but New Delhi has sought to balance this by diversifying imports&comma; increasing LNG supplies from Qatar and the US&comma; and pushing for renewable collaborations&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>At the same time&comma; Saudi Arabia values India’s vast market and workforce&period; Nearly <strong>2&period;6 million Indians live in Saudi Arabia<&sol;strong>&comma; contributing significantly to remittances and local industry&period; This interdependence creates a structural incentive for Riyadh to accommodate India’s concerns&comma; even as it balances ties with Pakistan&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">India Saudi Arabia Defence Ties in the Broader Gulf Context<&sol;h2>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>India’s engagement with the Gulf has expanded dramatically&comma; not just with Saudi Arabia but also with the <strong>United Arab Emirates &lpar;UAE&rpar;<&sol;strong>&comma; <strong>Qatar<&sol;strong>&comma; and <strong>Oman<&sol;strong>&period; The India–UAE Comprehensive Strategic Partnership has arguably outpaced India–Saudi defence ties&comma; featuring joint exercises&comma; intelligence cooperation&comma; and investments in defence technology&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Saudi Arabia&comma; however&comma; remains central to India’s strategic calculus because of its economic heft&comma; religious influence in the Islamic world&comma; and its role in global energy markets&period; New Delhi’s diplomatic message must therefore be seen as a calibrated attempt to ensure Riyadh does not undermine India’s security by aligning too closely with Islamabad&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">Strategic Implications for India<&sol;h2>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">Reinforcing Strategic Autonomy<&sol;h3>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>India’s message to Riyadh highlights its <strong>strategic autonomy<&sol;strong>&colon; it seeks closer ties with Gulf powers but will not compromise on core security interests&period; This mirrors India’s broader foreign policy approach&comma; where it maintains partnerships with the US&comma; Russia&comma; and Gulf nations while carefully managing contradictions&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">Balancing Pakistan’s Gulf Influence<&sol;h3>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Pakistan has historically leveraged religious and military ties with Saudi Arabia&period; India’s intervention signals a willingness to challenge this narrative and assert its own role as an indispensable Gulf partner&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">The Indo-Pacific Link<&sol;h3>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>As India positions itself as a key player in the Indo-Pacific&comma; stability in the Gulf is crucial for maritime energy flows and logistics&period; Defence ties between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan risk complicating this environment by indirectly fueling regional rivalry&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">India Saudi Arabia Defence Ties&colon; Regional Security Risks<&sol;h2>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<ol class&equals;"wp-block-list">&NewLine;<li><strong>Proxy Risks&colon;<&sol;strong> Saudi investments in Pakistan’s defence industries could enhance Islamabad’s missile or UAV programmes&comma; indirectly affecting South Asia’s balance&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li><strong>Counterterrorism Ambiguity&colon;<&sol;strong> Close Saudi–Pakistani ties risk complicating trilateral counterterrorism cooperation&comma; especially on terror financing linked to South Asia&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li><strong>Strategic Distraction&colon;<&sol;strong> India may be forced to invest more in diplomatic balancing&comma; diverting attention from Indo-Pacific priorities&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;<&sol;ol>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">External Perspectives<&sol;h2>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>According to <strong>SIPRI’s Arms Transfer Database<&sol;strong> &lpar;<a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;sipri&period;org&sol;databases&sol;armstransfers" data-type&equals;"link" data-id&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;sipri&period;org&sol;databases&sol;armstransfers">SIPRI<&sol;a>&rpar;&comma; Saudi Arabia remains the world’s largest arms importer&comma; while Pakistan remains a mid-tier player dependent on foreign suppliers&period; India’s entry as a top defence importer&comma; and increasingly as an exporter&comma; creates a triangular competition&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>A <strong>RAND Corporation study<&sol;strong> &lpar;<a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;rand&period;org&sol;" data-type&equals;"link" data-id&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;rand&period;org&sol;">RAND<&sol;a>&rpar; notes that Gulf states often pursue multiple partnerships to maximize leverage&period; For India&comma; this means navigating a complex web of alignments without overcommitting or alienating partners&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The <strong>PIB<&sol;strong> &lpar;<a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;pib&period;gov&period;in" data-type&equals;"link" data-id&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;pib&period;gov&period;in">PIB Defence<&sol;a>&rpar; has also highlighted India’s push for <em>Atmanirbhar Bharat<&sol;em> in defence exports&comma; positioning India as a potential supplier to Gulf states—an area that could counter Pakistan’s presence&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">Internal Links<&sol;h2>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>For related coverage&comma; see DefenceBroadcast’s <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;defencebroadcast&period;com&sol;global-defence&sol;" data-type&equals;"link" data-id&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;defencebroadcast&period;com&sol;global-defence&sol;">Global Defence<&sol;a> and <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;defencebroadcast&period;com&sol;defence-budget-policy&sol;" data-type&equals;"link" data-id&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;defencebroadcast&period;com&sol;defence-budget-policy&sol;">Defence Budget &amp&semi; Policy<&sol;a> categories&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">Strategic Takeaways and Outlook<&sol;h2>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>India’s diplomatic nudge to Saudi Arabia reflects a confident&comma; assertive foreign policy&period; By openly linking Saudi–Pakistan defence ties to regional sensitivities&comma; New Delhi has underlined its non-negotiable red lines&period; Going forward&comma; India is likely to deepen economic and security cooperation with Riyadh&comma; while also offering indigenous defence technologies to counter Pakistan’s influence&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The future of India Saudi Arabia defence ties will hinge on how effectively both nations balance energy&comma; trade&comma; and strategic concerns&period; For India&comma; maintaining credibility as a partner of choice while safeguarding its core interests will be the defining challenge in Gulf diplomacy&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">FAQ<&sol;h2>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p><strong>Q1&colon; Why is India concerned about Saudi Arabia’s defence ties with Pakistan&quest;<&sol;strong><br>India fears that closer Riyadh–Islamabad cooperation could indirectly support Pakistan’s military modernization and undermine New Delhi’s security interests&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p><strong>Q2&colon; How do India Saudi Arabia defence ties affect regional security&quest;<&sol;strong><br>They shape South Asian stability&comma; Gulf power dynamics&comma; and India’s broader Indo-Pacific role by influencing defence partnerships and counterterrorism cooperation&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p><strong>Q3&colon; Can India offset Pakistan’s influence in Saudi Arabia&quest;<&sol;strong><br>Yes&comma; through deeper economic engagement&comma; defence exports under <em>Atmanirbhar Bharat<&sol;em>&comma; and leveraging its large expatriate community to strengthen ties&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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